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Tuesday, July 06, 2004

Pin the Insurgency on the Foreigner

Sites like Instapundit and Andrew Sullivan are touting the significance of this Fox story that says two self-identified Iranian intel officers were arrested with explosives in Baghdad Monday. Sullivan claims, "It seems to me that the best reason for voting for Bush this fall is Iran," because, "We know they will fight back soon."

I expect to see this story to be pushed, as the Zarqawi stuff has been pushed already, because it creates the impression that while Iraqis are all happy with the outcome of the US invasion and occupation, it's those pesky foreigners that are causing the security problems. That happens to be an inaccurate inference to draw:

Suspected foreign fighters account for less than 2% of the 5,700 captives being held as security threats in Iraq, a strong indication that Iraqis are largely responsible for the stubborn insurgency.

It is Iraqis themselves who don't like what the US has done to their country and are taking up arms against our soldiers. Don't let headlines about Iran convince you otherwise. (The Sullivan point is especially bizarre considering that Bush brought the country to war at the behest of Iran-friendly Ahmed Chalabi, even spurring Matthew Yglesias to jokingly speculate as to whether Bush is an Iranian agent.)